What would happen if China invaded Taiwan?

Escalating tensions: China's naval movements around Taiwan raise regional security concerns.

Taiwan’s Defense Ministry reported increased activity by Chinese naval and coast guard vessels in the Taiwan Strait and Western Pacific on Monday. These movements come as the island braces for potential military drills from Beijing, escalating already tense cross-strait relations.

Chinese People’s Liberation Army (PLA) vessels from multiple theater commands—Eastern, Northern, and Southern—have been spotted, along with Chinese Coast Guard ships, according to a statement by Taiwan’s Defense Ministry. These activities are viewed as a reaction to recent events involving Taiwan President Lai Ching-te and the United States, further straining ties between Beijing, Taipei, and Washington.

Beijing’s response to lai’s trip and U.S. arms sales

The heightened military activity follows Taiwan President Lai Ching-te’s unofficial stops in Hawaii and Guam during his tour of the South Pacific last week. The visit, which Beijing condemned, came shortly after the U.S. approved new arms sales to Taiwan—a move that China labeled a violation of its sovereignty. Beijing considers such interactions between Taiwan and the U.S. as undermining its territorial claims, even though it has never controlled Taiwan.

China’s Communist Party views Taiwan as part of its territory and has vowed to “reunify” with the self-governing democracy, by force if necessary. Meanwhile, Taiwan’s leadership firmly rejects these claims, emphasizing the island’s sovereignty.

In response to the PLA’s increased activities, Taiwan’s Defense Ministry announced combat readiness exercises to counter potential threats. “Any unilateral provocations could undermine Indo-Pacific peace and stability. We will address all gray zone incursions and ensure our national security,” the ministry declared on social media.

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Larger naval raises concerns

It seems likely that during Beijing’s military maneuvers, the wider general strategy of the People’s Republic of China is to assert control over its surrounding region; a senior Taiwanese official has noted that the current naval deployment of China has dwarfed its earlier military drills concerning Taiwan this year. Importantly, just as in May and October, China carried out wide-scale exercises: Joint Sword-2024A and Joint Sword-2024B, markers of its dissatisfaction with the political status and actions of Taiwan.

Unlike earlier maneuvers that entailed the envelopment of the island of Taiwan itself, the newest actions appear targeted at claiming airspace within the strategic “first island chain”—an area comprising Japan, Taiwan, parts of the Philippines, and Indonesia. The PLA has also set aside seven areas of reserved airspace, outside the mainland, along its coastal Zhejiang and Fujian provinces, which indicates a wider scope of operation—it restricts other users temporarily but allows for travel under international aviation rules with proper permissions.

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Lai Ching-te’s call for democratic solidarity

During his stops in Hawaii and Guam, President Lai highlighted the importance of democratic values. In Guam, Lai addressed the overseas Taiwanese community and Guam Governor Lou Leon Guerrero, urging like-minded nations to “never bow down to totalitarianism.” He emphasized the need to protect democracy and strengthen ties with allies.

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Lai’s visit also included a phone conversation with U.S. House Speaker Mike Johnson, highlighting the importance of U.S.-Taiwan relations. However, Beijing strongly criticized Lai’s actions and reiterated its commitment to defending its sovereignty. Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesperson Mao Ning reaffirmed Beijing’s stance, stating, “Taiwan is an integral part of China’s territory.”

This rising tension underscores the fragile dynamics in the Taiwan Strait. Taiwan remains resolute in defending its sovereignty, while Beijing continues to increase pressure. The international community watches closely as the situation evolves, with implications for regional peace and stability.

Emem Ukpong
Emem Ukponghttps://stimulus-check.com/author/emem-uk/
Hello, I'm Emem Ukpong, a Content Writer at Stimulus Check. I have a Bachelor's degree in Biochemistry, and several professional certifications in Digital Marketing—where I piqued interest in content writing/marketing. My job as a writer isn't fueled by a love for writing, but rather, by my passion for solving problems and providing answers. With over two years of professional experience, I have worked with various companies to write articles, blog posts, social media content, and newsletters, across various niches. However, I specialize in writing and editing economic and social content. Currently, I write news articles and informational content for Stimulus Check. I collaborate with SEO specialists to ensure accurate information gets to the people looking for it in real-time. Outside of work, I love reading, as it relaxes and stimulates my mind. I also love to formulate skin care products—a fun way to channel my creativity and keep the scientist in me alive.

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